← Santa Clara Covention Center NorCal Regional hosted by Final Cut TCG
Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at Santa Clara Covention Center NorCal Regional hosted by Final Cut TCG
decks
4
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
25
14-8-3
overall winrate
62.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.2%
avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
49.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1411
· median 1365
· range 1272–1642
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1226
Q3 1428
1648
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 14.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.6% | -17.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.8% | -3.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.2% | +6.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.2% | -5.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 4.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.7% | +8.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.2% | +2.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.8% | +25.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% | +5.3 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.1% | -25.4 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
